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 | | Posted by admin on Friday, March 31, 2006 - 08:05 AM |
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 |  | GOLD climbed to
its highest level in 25 years yesterday, propelling the JSE to a fresh
record, as the dollar weakened and the prices of other precious metals
surged to new highs. Ayanda Shezi
Although some profit-taking was
expected in the short-term, analysts said yesterday, the trend remained
upward for precious metals.
“Further gains from here may prove a little difficult as
Japanese investors will be looking to take profit from the rally ahead
of their year-end (today),” said Rennies Bank forex dealer Lee
Naisbitt.
Gold changed hands at $580,54/oz yesterday, its highest level since January 1981, and up 1,2% from its previous close.
Since the beginning of this month, the metal is up 3%.
The metal was also boosted by oil prices trading above $66 a barrel on concerns over Iran and its nuclear programme.
“The outlook remains positive for gold, as there is a lot
of uncertainty with regard to the direction of the dollar, as well as
uncertainty about the monetary policy direction of both the Fed and the
European Central Bank (ECB),” said Absa economist Monale Ratsoma.
He said gold could go as high as $650/oz if current fundamentals prevailed throughout the year.
Last year, gold rose 18% partly as investors bought the
metal as a hedge against inflation as oil prices traded at record
highs. The higher bullion price lifted the rand, as well as the local
equity market. The rand gained 2% from its previous close, and was
trading at R6,19 to the dollar in late afternoon trade.
“The rand, as a commodity-based currency, should benefit
from the surge in precious metals’ prices as it has in recent times,”
said Ratsoma.
Gold and platinum together account for about 20% of South
African exports, and a rise in these precious metals is generally
positive for the currency.
The rand was also buoyed by a stronger euro. The euro
gained against the greenback for a second day yesterday, on speculation
that the ECB will raise interest rates three more times this year,
outpacing the US Fed and narrowing the US rate gap.
The euro was also buoyed by reports showing that business
confidence in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, rose to a 15-year peak
and executive sentiment in Italy was at its highest in five years.
The JSE’s all share index climbed to a new record high, and was seen up 1,7% at 20678 in intraday trade.
SA’s third-biggest mining company, Harmony Gold, surged
5,2% to R101,50, while Implats, the world second-biggest platinum
producer, was up 2,7% to R1197/oz.
The gold index gained 4% to 2886, while resources were up 2,4% at 35342.
Gold was quoted at $583,30/oz when the JSE closed yesterday. With Bloomberg
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