BUSINESS
confidence rose last month to its highest level ever. Sacob’s business
confidence index (BCI) rose to 131 in January from 129,4 in December. I-Net Bridge
This is the highest level ever
recorded for the BCI and is 0,1 index point higher than the record
level of 130,9 in September 2004 Sacob said today.
The BCI has increased by 4% since September 2005 and has been especially progressive during December 2005 and January 2006.
Short-term financial market assessments made an important impact on the business mood at the start of 2006, the body stated.
Sacob said it is concerned that the push behind the mood
is becoming more skewed, as a large part of the BCI level is caused by
trends and developments in financial markets and financial variables
rather than by real economic activity.
This becomes quite apparent if the growth in the primary
and secondary sectors is compared to growth in the tertiary sector, it
said.
Sacob said it laments the effort to resolve land reform
in SA by circumventing the market approach and bringing it in disrepute.
"It is a pity that an unsettled quasi-political and
public administrative issue should undermine the market principle on an
important matter such as property rights.
"This is going to dissuade investment decisions by local as well as foreign investors and affect investor confidence," it said.
From tax revenue figures up to December 2005 it is
evident that tax collections were exceeding the Budget estimates by a
substantial margin. It now seems possible that collections will even
overtake the November 2005 Revised Estimates.
The higher tax collections and the increasing tax burden
of general government expressed as a percentage of GDP implies a higher
tax burden on business, it stated.
"It concerns Sacob that the pressure on business has
been greater than anticipated in the Budget. A cause for concern is the
reasons for the deviation.
"This could well lie with a too low estimate of economic
growth or inflation or the incorrect measurement of these by official
agencies," it added.
"It is imperative that the national budget, as a leading
policy instrument, and the outcome should be more accurate in
estimating tax revenue and borrowing than was the case in 2005/06,
given the consequences for business.
"Sacob trusts that the 2006/07 Budget as a policy
directive, will be launched from and provide reliable estimates on
important economic aggregates," it concluded.
|